The Cashflow Memo
SHOWNOTES
In this episode, the Telltales team continues last week’s discussion on the potential impact of Donald Trump's election victory on pages 1-7 of the memo. They also delve into company-specific news and developments, such as Netflix's live streaming challenges and the future of the semiconductor industry.
[00:00:49] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND Hunt discusses the potential impact of a Trump administration on the global oil market, particularly in relation to Iran's production and exports. The surplus capacity could dry up if the new administration tightens sanctions or makes a deal with Iran.
[00:03:48] Exhibit B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY The team notes that natural gas prices are finally close to a three handle on the December contract, and the out years are behaving reasonably well. Hunt plans to update the natural gas demand and supply forecast for the following week.
[00:04:16] Exhibit A: US GOV'T REVENUES AND EXPENSES Hunt believes that Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy will work on finding ways to make the government more efficient, with Musk aiming to save $2 trillion. Substantial reductions in healthcare spending may be necessary to achieve this goal.
[00:05:07] Payment Companies: MA, V, PYPL (Page 7) The team discusses the potential impact of a Trump presidency on payment companies like Mastercard, Visa, and PayPal. They explore the role of crypto enthusiasts in shaping the administration's stance and the challenges blockchain faces in replacing traditional payment systems.
[00:09:20] Telecom Companies: T, VZ, TMUS (Page 6) Hunt and the team analyze the prospects for AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile under a Trump administration. They discuss the completion of 5G network buildouts, potential changes in regulations, and the impact of low Earth orbit satellites on the industry.
[00:12:11] Cable Companies: CHTR, CMCSA (Page 5) The discussion turns to the traditional cable companies, Charter and Comcast, and their transition into providing internet access. The team explores the strong competition in the industry and the potential impact of pharmaceutical advertising on news coverage.
[00:17:40] Streaming and Media: NFLX, DIS, META, SPOT (Page 4) Jason and Mike delve into the challenges Netflix faced during the Mike Tyson fight live stream and the infrastructure required for successful live streaming events. They also discuss the differences between Netflix's traditional streaming model and live streaming.
[00:21:17] Semiconductor Industry: NVDA, AMD, INTC, TSMC, ASML (Page 3) The team analyzes the semiconductor industry, focusing on the shift from human-based coding to learning algorithms and the importance of GPUs. They discuss the positions of NVIDIA, AMD, Intel, Taiwan Semiconductor, and ASML in the market and the potential impact of tariffs and geopolitical factors.
[00:28:34] Big Tech and Tesla: AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, TSLA (Page 1) The conversation turns to the surge in Tesla's stock price following Trump's victory and Elon Musk's influence on policy and cabinet choices. They discuss the potential for federal licensing of autonomous driving and its impact on Tesla. The team also explores the proposed antitrust resolution for Alphabet's browser and the dynamics of search engine competition.
The Telltales team covers a wide range of topics related to the 2024 election outcome, providing insights and analysis on the potential impacts across various industries. Stay tuned for more in-depth discussions on energy, technology, and healthcare in future episodes.
#Semiconductors, #StreamingWars, #PharmaAds, #NewsMedia, #AntitrustLaw MA 0.00%↑ V 0.00%↑ PYPL 0.00%↑ T 0.00%↑ VZ 0.00%↑ TMUS 0.00%↑ CHTR 0.00%↑ CMCSA 0.00%↑ NFLX 0.00%↑ DIS 0.00%↑ META 0.00%↑ SPOT 0.00%↑ NVDA 0.00%↑ AMD 0.00%↑ INTC 0.00%↑ TSM 0.00%↑ ASML 0.00%↑ AAPL 0.00%↑ AMZN 0.00%↑ GOOG 0.00%↑ MSFT 0.00%↑ TSLA 0.00%↑
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