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Investing Insights: From Eye Care to Artificial Intelligence (e2428)

Dissecting PBM controversies, emerging healthcare players, AI company dynamics, and electric vehicle expansion

The Cashflow Memo

7 8 24 20 Ppgs
583KB ∙ PDF file
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Support the Future of Sailing - Dawn Riley 60 for 60 Birthday Fundraiser

If you are in to sailing, you probably already know about Oakcliff Sailing. If you don’t, check it out at Oakcliffsailing.org. Dawn Riley, Oakcliff’s dedicated leader turns 60 later this year. In honor of her upcoming birthday, Oakcliff is sponsoring a fundraiser to further the organization’s mission to Build American Leaders Through Sailing. Donate here: Oakcliff 60 for 60

Shownotes

00:00:00 - Introduction

00:00:48 - Energy Market Update

  • Review of OPEC and IEA supply/demand numbers for 2024

  • Discussion of Saudi Arabia and UAE's production capacity and discipline

  • Natural gas prices and production updates

  • LNG export facilities and delays (Freeport, Golden Pass)

06:02 - Healthcare Sector Discussion

  • FTC's 70-page report criticizing pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs)

  • Top 3 PBMs control 80% of prescription flow in US

  • Potential regulatory risks for UnitedHealth, CVS, and Cigna

Vertex and Lantheus Updates

  • Lantheus: Positive CMS guidance on reimbursement for radio diagnostic tests

  • Vertex: Brief mention of preclinical data on potential sickle cell treatment

New Healthcare Company Spotlight: Harrow

  • Specializes in ophthalmic care and anesthetics

  • CEO background and capital allocation strategy

  • Innovative approach to R&D through spinoffs (Eaton, Melt, Surface Ophthalmics)

22:03 - AI and Tech Discussion
OpenAI, Microsoft, and Apple

  • Apple dropping observer status on OpenAI board

  • Speculation on potential IPO for OpenAI

  • Microsoft's investment and revenue rights in OpenAI

XAI and Competition in AI

  • Discussion of Elon Musk's XAI catching up to OpenAI and Google

  • Importance of data access and compute power in AI development

  • Potential for new AI techniques beyond large language models

29:13 - Electric Vehicle Industry Updates

  • Tesla's new Full Self-Driving software integrating highway and street models

  • BYD setting up factory in Turkey to avoid tariffs

  • Chinese EV manufacturers' expansion into Europe and potential US entry

31:21 - Closing Remarks

UNH 0.00%↑ LLY 0.00%↑ CVS 0.00%↑ CI 0.00%↑ VRTX 0.00%↑ LNTH 0.00%↑ BIIB 0.00%↑ HROW 0.00%↑ MSFT 0.00%↑ AAPL 0.00%↑ GOOGL 0.00%↑ TSLA 0.00%↑ BYD 0.00%↑ NVDA 0.00%↑


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This post and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only. The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, neither the author nor any of his employers or their affiliates have independently verified this information, and its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information. The author and all employers and their affiliated persons assume no liability for this information and no obligation to update the information or analysis contained herein in the future.

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Telltales
An investing podcast + substack for people who want to compound their wealth over the long run and don't mind sailing analogies