The Cashflow Memo
SHOWNOTES
In this episode, the Telltales team discusses the challenges surrounding AI hallucination, the potential for healthcare reform under a new administration, and the outlook for the energy sector. They explore the legal and ethical implications of generative AI models, examine potential solutions to tackle healthcare costs, and analyze the effects of geopolitics and policy changes on oil and natural gas.
[00:01:01] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND Hunt expects Iranian oil exports to decrease by half a million barrels per day in 2025 compared to Iran's own forecast. He notes that Chinese refiners are already taking less Iranian oil in anticipation of the new administration. However, if Iran agrees to give up uranium enrichment in exchange for lifting sanctions, oil surplus could increase.
[00:02:58] Exhibit B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY Hunt discusses the impact of cold weather on natural gas production and demand. He highlights the importance of LNG feed gas and power demand growth in keeping the storage change down and maintaining a year-round price of around $3.40.
[00:04:08] Exhibit A: US GOV'T REVENUES Hunt examines the potential for spending cuts under the new administration, focusing on defense, "all other" expenses, and healthcare. He emphasizes the need to find savings in order to reduce the deficit and bring down the debt-to-GNP ratio.
[00:06:01] Healthcare & D.O.G.E Jason and Mike discuss the potential vulnerabilities of healthcare companies under a new administration focused on cost reduction. They explore the challenges of implementing a single-payer system and the trade-offs involved in providing universal healthcare.
[00:16:00] How Big Tech Deals with AI Hallucination The team delves into the issue of AI hallucination and the role of guardrails in managing the output of language models. They discuss the challenges of introducing biases during the reinforcement learning process and the potential need for regulation.
[00:25:56] Section 230 and Content Moderation Hunt raises the question of whether websites should be held responsible for the content generated by AI models. Mike and Jason discuss the original intent of Section 230 and the challenges of content moderation in the era of generative AI.
Get the latest memo at www.telltales.us
HROW 0.00%↑ PFE 0.00%↑ UNH 0.00%↑ AAPL 0.00%↑ AMZN 0.00%↑ GOOG 0.00%↑ MSFT 0.00%↑ META 0.00%↑
How did you like this week’s Telltales? Your feedback helps me make this great.
Loved | Great | Good | Meh | Bad | ….. If you liked this post from Telltales, why not share it?
This post and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only. The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, neither the author nor any of his employers or their affiliates have independently verified this information, and its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information. The author and all employers and their affiliated persons assume no liability for this information and no obligation to update the information or analysis contained herein in the future.
Share this post