2023.08 Thoughts on a flattening yield curve & Semiconductors
We discuss the yield curve and make a case for rates being higher for longer (& long bond ⬆️), and we review the dynamics of the semiconductor industry $NVDA $TSM $INTC
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Supplemental Data
0. The Memo
1. SuperCompounders
This is a list of all the companies covered in the memo. We calculate Total Return for each company assuming you had bought the stock at the average price during the first year of the IPO and reinvested dividend. This is not a ranked list of our favorite investments, rather it is meant to provide additional insightful information on the companies we discuss each week. Naturally, it is harder to compound capital at a high rate (see IRR) over longer periods of time, so it is not surprising to see MRNA topping this list with only 4.2 years as a public company
2. Macro
3. Energy
4. Tech
Cloud Multiples - Check out the most recent edition of Clouded Judgement for the latest SaaS multiples.
Semiconductors
Semiconductor Industry Association Global Billings Report
Bureau of Economic Analysis Semiconductor Import / Export
Cryptocurrency
INTC 0.00%↑ NVDA 0.00%↑ TSM 0.00%↑
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This post and the information herein are intended for informational purposes only. The views expressed herein are the author’s alone and do not constitute an offer to sell, or a recommendation to purchase, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, nor a recommendation for any investment product or service. While certain information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, neither the author nor any of his employers or their affiliates have independently verified this information, and its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of this information. The author and all employers and their affiliated persons assume no liability for this information and no obligation to update the information or analysis contained herein in the future.